Research
Peer-reviewed publications
Analytical papers and chapters
Working papers
Work in progress
Fiscal Fatigue and Fiscal Limits in a Small Open Economy Model
Can Equilibrium Get Stuck on a High Persistence Equilibrium?
Adaptive Learning and Restricted Perceptions
Do Stochastic Trends Improve DSGE Forecasts? An Unobserved-Components, Unrestricted Approach
HetLearn: A Toolbox for Scenario Analysis with Heterogeneous Expectations and Adaptive Learning
Transmission Pathways and the Distributional Footprints of Economic and Environmental Shocks
El Niño and Inflation: Transmission, Exposure and Evidence from Monthly Local Projections
Policy work
Selected policy work
Asian Development Outlook, September 2026
- Box 1.2.1Producer prices as a leading indicator of consumer inflation (with S. Camingue-Romance)
- Box 1.3.2Risk scenarios for El Niño and energy disruption
Misallocation and Productivity Growth: a Meta-analysis
Risks of De-anchoring Canadian Inflation: Insights from Heterogeneous Expectations
Monetary-Fiscal Policy Interactions in the Euro Area
Results of a Massive Experiment on Virtual Currency Endowments and Money Demand
Other policy work
Asian Development Outlook, July 2026
Anchoring Inflation Expectations Around the Liberation Day Tariff Scenario
Costs and Benefits of Pausing Rates Under De-anchoring Risk
Managing the Risks of Tightening Too Much Versus Not Enough
Implications of Rapidly Returning the Policy Rate to Neutral
Assessing FAD Models: Out-of-sample Forecast Performance
Assessing the FAD Models: Event Studies in ToTEM and LENS
Price Setting Behaviour and Balance Sheets in the Netherlands: Evidence from Microdata
Transmission Channels of LTI vs. LTV Limits in the UK
Codes
HetLearn Toolbox
A MATLAB toolbox for forecasting and policy scenario analysis in DSGE models with bounded rationality and adaptive learning.
The code was written with assistance from Claude Opus 5.5. All remaining errors are my own. The toolbox is still largely a work in progress.
Blogs
Curriculum Vitae
Employment
Asian Development Bank
Bank of Canada
- 2026Assistant Director
- 2024–2025Principal Economist
- 2021–2024Senior Economist